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2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.65	-17.2	-1.3	2452	0.1	44.1	-44.0	1.04	0.8	-0.6	-0.2%	22.1%	-22.3%	.87	-0.7%	1.8	0.6	0.96	11.3	67	40	91
Atlanta Braves	3.85	36.1	4.2	2315	6.1	40.6	-34.5	.97	7.1	-0.8	4.2%	27.6%	-23.5%	1.10	-0.5%	56.9	6.4	0.93	78.6	60	40	80
Baltimore Orioles	3.69	26.8	3.2	2333	5.6	42.8	-37.2	1.03	5.8	-0.4	4.2%	28.7%	-24.6%	1.15	0.2%	56.2	6.5	0.91	60.9	72	55	84
Boston Red Sox	3.95	42.3	4.6	2407	4.1	41.8	-37.7	1.00	6.1	-2.0	2.2%	23.1%	-20.9%	.93	-1.3%	49.7	5.4	0.93	70.1	69	45	73
Chicago Cubs	4.59	2.5	0.8	2495	1.9	46.9	-45.1	1.09	2.9	-1.2	1.3%	30.7%	-29.3%	1.19	-0.6%	8.8	1.4	0.95	24.3	84	41	75
Chicago White Sox	5.37	-58.7	-5.6	2529	-6.1	39.8	-45.9	.96	-4.6	-1.8	-0.5%	6.2%	-6.7%	.25	-0.2%	-55.9	-5.1	0.96	-53.7	72	50	93
Cincinnati Reds	4.19	19.3	2.1	2458	1.5	39.6	-38.1	.94	2.5	-0.9	0.4%	18.2%	-17.8%	.73	-0.9%	32.9	3.4	0.94	34.5	65	48	86
Cleveland Guardians	3.75	26.1	3.1	2350	5.5	44.4	-38.9	1.04	4.0	1.3	4.0%	31.4%	-27.4%	1.22	1.0%	51.6	5.8	0.92	44.9	87	50	89
Colorado Rockies	5.61	-36.2	-3.2	2523	-4.8	41.1	-45.9	.98	-3.3	-1.7	-1.8%	8.2%	-10.1%	.34	-3.7%	-42.8	-3.5	0.96	-30.8	61	43	81
Detroit Tigers	4.24	14.7	1.8	2375	2.9	41.9	-38.9	.99	3.6	-0.6	1.6%	24.0%	-22.3%	.95	-0.4%	23.5	2.8	0.93	43.9	70	36	77
Houston Astros	4.44	-18.4	-1.5	2484	0.8	40.7	-40.0	.96	0.2	0.6	-0.1%	14.4%	-14.5%	.57	-0.3%	5.3	1.1	0.95	7.2	56	49	94
Kansas City Royals	3.71	37.3	4.1	2383	5.0	43.0	-38.0	1.02	5.0	-0.1	3.1%	28.8%	-25.6%	1.13	-0.2%	49.1	5.4	0.95	55.7	67	43	86
Los Angeles Angels	4.89	-19.4	-1.7	2457	-0.1	38.9	-39.0	.91	0.0	-0.1	-0.7%	13.5%	-14.2%	.53	-1.2%	-14.7	-1.1	0.94	1.3	52	46	92
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.58	48.6	5.1	2430	6.4	39.2	-32.7	.90	7.9	-0.7	4.5%	27.6%	-23.1%	1.05	-0.4%	76.5	8.2	0.91	89.4	55	54	88
Miami Marlins	5.08	-17.8	-1.4	2494	-1.9	38.9	-40.9	.95	0.9	-2.9	-1.1%	7.4%	-8.5%	.31	-4.2%	-18.1	-1.2	0.97	7.4	58	48	102
Milwaukee Brewers	4.00	28.9	3.2	2414	5.4	43.0	-37.6	1.02	3.7	1.5	3.9%	30.6%	-26.7%	1.21	1.0%	39.3	4.3	0.94	33.0	74	50	80
Minnesota Twins	4.45	-16.8	-1.4	2365	1.9	37.5	-35.6	.91	1.8	0.2	0.9%	21.9%	-21.1%	.89	-0.1%	3.5	0.7	0.91	20.0	66	41	88
New York Mets	4.85	-27.9	-2.5	2518	-0.9	46.3	-47.1	1.12	-0.2	-0.6	0.1%	21.0%	-20.9%	.84	0.2%	-9.1	-0.6	0.98	5.5	88	43	75
New York Yankees	3.17	72.2	7.8	2419	9.4	45.6	-36.1	1.05	7.0	2.0	6.4%	31.1%	-24.7%	1.19	1.2%	90.8	9.8	0.94	78.3	64	48	76
Oakland Athletics	4.73	-24.5	-2.1	2510	-0.1	40.0	-40.1	.94	-1.2	1.0	-0.3%	15.1%	-15.4%	.59	0.3%	-19.3	-1.5	0.97	-12.3	66	50	87
Philadelphia Phillies	3.43	67.2	7.4	2419	10.7	46.0	-35.3	1.06	8.9	1.3	6.3%	27.5%	-21.2%	1.05	0.7%	86.7	9.6	0.93	99.6	79	40	73
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.53	5.5	0.8	2452	3.1	44.9	-41.8	1.06	1.2	1.8	1.4%	24.0%	-22.6%	.95	0.8%	13.7	1.7	0.95	18.7	79	37	78
San Diego Padres	4.21	-1.0	0.1	2511	1.1	39.5	-38.4	.90	2.9	-1.7	0.5%	22.9%	-22.4%	.87	-1.2%	23.8	2.7	0.92	36.5	56	51	101
Seattle Mariners	3.56	27.7	3.1	2349	5.5	38.2	-32.8	.92	6.7	-0.7	3.2%	23.2%	-20.0%	.93	-0.5%	51.4	5.8	0.89	72.1	64	35	94
San Francisco Giants	4.78	-38.0	-3.2	2510	0.7	40.8	-40.2	.97	-0.3	1.0	0.1%	20.7%	-20.6%	.82	0.3%	-13.2	-0.6	0.96	-4.8	54	66	98
St. Louis Cardinals	4.62	-3.2	-0.1	2349	1.6	41.2	-39.7	1.00	0.6	1.0	0.5%	19.2%	-18.7%	.78	0.5%	-0.4	0.2	0.94	7.7	62	58	74
Tampa Bay Rays	4.76	-29.4	-2.7	2458	1.6	45.0	-43.3	1.07	0.4	1.1	0.6%	21.5%	-20.9%	.86	0.4%	-1.4	0.1	0.93	6.8	95	44	67
Texas Rangers	4.23	0.7	0.7	2382	4.4	41.7	-37.2	1.00	4.7	-0.2	2.3%	24.7%	-22.5%	.99	-0.5%	25.9	3.6	0.94	50.6	67	38	79
Toronto Blue Jays	4.61	-22.2	-2.0	2394	2.4	38.6	-36.2	.91	-1.1	3.7	0.8%	17.5%	-16.7%	.69	1.6%	-8.1	-0.5	0.93	-18.7	44	57	107
Washington Nationals	4.37	-1.3	0.3	2408	0.1	39.7	-39.6	.96	0.9	-0.8	-0.1%	18.9%	-19.0%	.76	-0.7%	12.1	1.7	0.95	15.2	64	55	93
League Average	4.33	4	1	2431	2	42	-39	.99	2	-0	2%	22%	-20%	.85	0%	19	2	0	28	67	47	85
	4.33	124.1	23.5	72943	74.0	1251.5	-1177.6	.99	74.9	-0.1	47.7%	651.8%	-604.1%	.85	10.4%	576.6	73.2	0.94	853.2	2017	1401	2561
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo